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Journal Article

Improving the noise estimation of latent neural stochastic differential equations

Authors

Heck,  L.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/gelbrecht

Gelbrecht,  Maximilian
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

Schaub,  M. T.
External Organizations;

/persons/resource/Niklas.Boers

Boers,  Niklas
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research;

External Resource

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14534737
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Heck_2025_063139_1_5.0257224.pdf
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Citation

Heck, L., Gelbrecht, M., Schaub, M. T., Boers, N. (2025): Improving the noise estimation of latent neural stochastic differential equations. - Chaos, 35, 6, 063139.
https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0257224


Cite as: https://publications.pik-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_32452
Abstract
Latent neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have recently emerged as a promising approach for learning generative models from stochastic time series data. However, they systematically underestimate the noise level inherent in such data, limiting their ability to capture stochastic dynamics accurately. We investigate this underestimation in detail and propose a straightforward solution; by including an explicit additional noise regularization in the loss function, we are able to learn a model that accurately captures the diffusion component of the data. We demonstrate our results on a conceptual model system that highlights the improved latent neural SDE’s capability to model stochastic bistable dynamics.